By Jonathan Weisman
    Washington Post Staff Writer
    
    Prompted by a one-time tax holiday on profits earned abroad, pharmaceutical giant Eli
    Lilly and Co. announced early this year that it would bring home $8 billion to boost
    research and development spending, capital investments and other job-creating ventures. Six
    months into the year, Lilly's R&D spending had increased by 10 percent. But that $134
    million is only a small fraction of the $8 billion that is boosting the company's coffers.
    For proponents of the tax holiday, including the corporations that lobbied for it,
    Lilly proves that the tax provision is working. For skeptics, it means the opposite: A
    measure designed to create jobs is instead rewarding the companies that are most adept at
    stashing overseas profits in tax havens, allowing them to bring money home at a severely
    discounted tax rate. Once here, that money is simply freeing up domestic profits that
    would have been spent on job creation and investment anyway.
    "There will be some stimulative effect because it pumps money into the
    economy," said Phillip L. Swagel, a former chief of staff on President Bush's Council
    of Economic Advisers, which had opposed the tax holiday. "But you might as well have
    taken a helicopter over 90210 [Beverly Hills] and pushed the money out the door. That
    would have stimulated the economy as well."
    A well-organized business coalition, led by pharmaceutical firms and high-technology
    companies, pushed hard last year to get a long-sought tax holiday into the corporate tax
    bill moving through Congress, called the American Jobs Creation Act. Treasury Secretary
    John W. Snow objected that the measure would unfairly benefit multinational corporations
    over domestic firms, while White House economists said it would produce no substantial
    economic benefit.
    But with bipartisan backing, the business groups prevailed. Most companies with
    substantial cash holdings overseas have until the end of this year to bring them home at
    an effective tax rate of 5.25 percent, rather than the standard corporate tax rate of 35
    percent.
    So far, the effects have been muted. Martin Gonzalez, a principal at Banc of America
    Securities, estimated that by midyear, $30 billion to $40 billion in foreign profits had
    been brought home, just 10 percent of the $300 billion to $400 billion he said could be
    repatriated by the end of the tax holiday.
    Pfizer Inc. has led the pack with a promised $37 billion repatriation. Procter &
    Gamble Co. intends to bring home $10.7 billion, and Johnson & Johnson Inc. has an $11
    billion plan. Schering-Plough Corp. could bring back $9 billion. This week,
    Hewlett-Packard Co. announced it will repatriate $14.5 billion in the second half of the
    year, mainly for "strategic acquisitions," said Ryan Donovan, an HP spokesman.
    Robert S. McIntyre, a critic of corporate tax policy at Citizens for Tax Justice,
    questioned why "strategic acquisitions" would create jobs. "Usually it
    means layoffs. That's the strategic part," he said.
    Of the roughly 100 companies that disclosed permanently reinvested foreign earnings
    over $500 million in 2002, 20 percent announced repatriation plans in the first three
    months of the year, said Susan M. Albring of the University of South Florida and Lillian
    F. Mills of the University of Arizona, who are tracking the response. Fifteen percent said
    such plans were likely.
    Under the law and subsequent Treasury regulations, the repatriated money is supposed to
    go toward hiring and training, infrastructure development, R&D, capital investments,
    or other job-creating activities. None of the money could be used to feather the nests of
    shareholders or bosses through executive compensation, stock buybacks or dividend
    increases.
    But Treasury officials warned from the beginning that such requirements were virtually
    unenforceable, Swagel said.
    For proponents of the policy, there may be no better example than Dell Inc., the
    personal-computer maker, which said it will bring home $4.1 billion in foreign profits, in
    part to build a new manufacturing plant in Winston-Salem, N.C.
    But of that $4.1 billion, just over $100 million is going to the plant, which Dell says
    would have been built anyway. Dell spokesman Jess Blackburn said other expenditures will
    include compensation and benefits for non-executives, research and development,
    advertising, marketing, and some capital investments outside North Carolina.
    What it will not be used for is a $2 billion stock buyback announced April 6, two
    months after the repatriation plan was announced, Blackburn said. That buyback, although
    double the level initially planned for the firm's second quarter, was merely the latest in
    a long series of buybacks used to boost Dell stock prices, he said.
    "If we had never bought stock back and we bought stock back this year, I would
    raise my own eyebrows," he said.
    In June, after the release of its repatriation plan, Pfizer said it would buy back up
    to $5 billion in common stock.
    No one is suggesting that companies are violating the law, said Pamela F. Olson, who as
    assistant Treasury secretary for tax policy opposed the provision. But the new cash from
    abroad has "loosened company balance sheets," she said. Some of the new
    investments would not have been made without the measure, but most of it is simply
    displacing money that would have been spent anyway.
    "Money is in some sense always fungible," said Jonah Rockoff, a Columbia
    University economist.
    Another concern is the incentive the holiday may provide to tax shelterers.
    Companies with operations in countries with corporate tax rates close to the U.S. rate
    had nothing to gain, since they already can deduct taxes paid abroad from tax bills on
    repatriated earnings. Companies with profits in tax havens with little or no corporate
    income taxes stand to gain the most.
    It made sense that the provision was pushed by technology and pharmaceutical companies,
    because so much of their profits come from "intangible" property, such as
    patents and licensing, Mills said. "The profit from a new drug for pain relief is
    easier to shelter in a low-tax country than is the profit from making and selling
    shirts," she said.
    But such companies also have large R&D operations in the United States that could
    be funded by repatriated profits.
    "Companies are making the decision," Mills said. "'Would I ever have
    repatriated these earnings?' If the answer is yes, they're taking it. If it's no, they
    will not even want to pay a 5.25 percent rate."